📈 Will Adobe report Q3 FY2026 revenue of at least $6.80 billion?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 56.0%.
- Final market price
- 56.0%
- Event deadline
- September 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
📈 Will Adobe report Q3 FY2026 revenue of at least $6.80 billion? The final Manifold price was 56.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 56.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 11, 2026 at 6:53 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 10, 2026 at 3:55 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 40d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolve YES if Adobe Inc. reports total revenue of $6.80 billion or more for its third quarter of fiscal year 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolve YES if Adobe Inc. reports total revenue of $6.80 billion or more for its third quarter of fiscal year 2026. Resolve NO if Adobe reports total revenue below $6.80 billion. Resolution will use Adobe's officially reported total revenue for Q3 FY2026 as published in its earnings release, SEC filing, or official investor-relations materials. Analyst estimates, adjusted revenue figures, subscription revenue alone, ARR, future guidance, or preliminary third-party reports do not count. If Adobe materially delays the release of its Q3 FY2026 results beyond the market's scheduled closing time, the market will remain closed to trading but unresolved until Adobe publishes the official results, at which point it will resolve based on the reported Q3 FY2026 total revenue.