Will Abdul El Sayed win the Michigan Democratic primary for senate by 10.00000% or more?
Final price
74.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 74.3%.
- Final market price
- 74.3%
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will Abdul El Sayed win the Michigan Democratic primary for senate by 10.00000% or more? The final Manifold price was 74.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 74.3%.
- Market data as of
- August 7, 2026 at 8:11 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 4, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 74d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves yes if he wins by 10.00000% or more
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves yes if he wins by 10.00000% or more