Will a new prize drawing be opened before end of August?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a new prize drawing be opened before end of August? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 64d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if a new Manifold prize drawing is opened and available to purchase tickets in before 11.59pm est August 31 2026 (Identical market to: source market)
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if a new Manifold prize drawing is opened and available to purchase tickets in before 11.59pm est August 31 2026 (Identical market to: source market)