ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 42d ago
Will a new prize drawing be opened before end of August?
Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 4:57 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a new prize drawing be opened before end of August? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 4:26 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 29, 2026 at 10:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 4:57 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves YES if a new Manifold prize drawing is opened and available to purchase tickets in before 11.59pm est August 31 2026
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves YES if a new Manifold prize drawing is opened and available to purchase tickets in before 11.59pm est August 31 2026
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ1.6K
Liquidity
Ṁ120
Total volume
Ṁ0
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 99.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 15, 2026
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