Will a new FrontierMath Open Problem be solved by AI before August 2026?
Final price
44.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.4%.
- Final market price
- 44.4%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a new FrontierMath Open Problem be solved by AI before August 2026? The final Manifold price was 44.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 44.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 31, 2026 at 8:01 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 81d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves according to confirmation by Epoch AI
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves according to confirmation by Epoch AI
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