Will a mod comment on this market?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.1%.
- Final market price
- 53.1%
- Event deadline
- June 25, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a mod comment on this market? The final Manifold price was 53.1%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 53.1%.
- Market data as of
- June 29, 2026 at 11:25 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 25, 2026 at 11:50 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 68d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if a user with official Moderator ("Mod") or Administrator ("Admin") status on Manifold Markets posts a comment in the comment section of this market before its scheduled close time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES if a user with official Moderator ("Mod") or Administrator ("Admin") status on Manifold Markets posts a comment in the comment section of this market before its scheduled close time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO. Moderator/Admin Identification: A user counts as a moderator or administrator if they possess an active "Mod" or "Admin" badge next to their username at the time of posting their comment. Deleted Comments: If a moderator posts a comment that is subsequently deleted, the market will still resolve to YES if the comment can be verified through screenshots, archival logs, or creator discretion. Market Creator: If the creator of this market is a moderator, their own comments will only count toward a YES resolution if they are responding to other users or posting official moderator actions, rather than just routine market management. Background Manifold Markets relies on a team of volunteer moderators and paid staff administrators to manage spam, resolve disputes, and ensure the platform runs smoothly. Users can flag markets or call for moderator intervention by pinging the @mods group directly in any market's comment section. Moderation team members are easily identified by a distinct badge adjacent to their profile name on the platform. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ126.5
- Category
- AI / Tech
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 53.1%
- Resolves
- Jun 25, 2026