Will a current moderator lose their role before end of month?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 25.9%.
- Final market price
- 25.9%
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a current moderator lose their role before end of month? The final Manifold price was 25.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 25.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 1, 2026 at 5:05 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 30, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 112d ago
What this market actually measures
Most of them are inactive. Resolves yes if at least one person who is currently a moderator is no longer a moderator before end of June 2026, Los Angeles time.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Most of them are inactive. Resolves yes if at least one person who is currently a moderator is no longer a moderator before end of June 2026, Los Angeles time.