ManifoldPlay moneyOtherUpdated 108d ago

Will a commenter post a link to a video showing Micah Lasher doing a magic trick?

Final price
13.3%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold

Not enough price history for this range yet.

Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)

Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 13.3%.

Final market price
13.3%
Event deadline
July 2, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Will a commenter post a link to a video showing Micah Lasher doing a magic trick? The final Manifold price was 13.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 13.3%.

Market data as of
July 4, 2026 at 7:42 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 2, 2026 at 5:09 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
108d ago