Will a Claude Fable model be released Tuesday June 9th?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- June 9, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Will a Claude Fable model be released Tuesday June 9th? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- June 12, 2026 at 5:51 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 9, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 130d ago
What this market actually measures
This guy on hacker news says it’s coming tomorrow: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48450521 The String was also spotted in Azure. Resolves yes if the model’s name contains the word “fable” non case sensitive
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This guy on hacker news says it’s coming tomorrow: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48450521 The String was also spotted in Azure. Resolves yes if the model’s name contains the word “fable” non case sensitive