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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 64d ago

WIIL I get first of my bronze league this week? 🩶

Final price
31.4%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 31.4%.

Final market price
31.4%
Event deadline
June 28, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

WIIL I get first of my bronze league this week? 🩶 The final Manifold price was 31.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 31.4%.

Market data as of
July 3, 2026 at 12:40 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 28, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
64d ago

What this market actually measures

Just look at my profile to find if it will resolve to YES or NO, depending on my shares and my league position. My goal is to be TOP 1.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Just look at my profile to find if it will resolve to YES or NO, depending on my shares and my league position. My goal is to be TOP 1. Thank you ! Market resolves to YES if I'm first of my bronze league; otherwise, NO for 2 or + position. Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the market creator finishes in 1st place in their Bronze league division for the weekly cohort ending Sunday night. This market resolves to NO if the creator finishes in 2nd place or lower in their Bronze league division. Source of truth: The league standings visible on the creator's Manifold profile page or the Manifold Leagues dashboard at the close of the weekly cycle (typically Sunday at 11:59 PM PT / Monday at 7:00 AM UTC). Edge cases: If the creator is not placed in a Bronze league division this week, this market will resolve to N/A. Background Manifold Leagues partition active users into weekly cohorts. Users compete to maximize their weekly league profits from trading and market creation to gain promotion to higher tiers (Bronze, Silver, Gold, etc.). The creator is aiming to top their specific Bronze league division cohort this week.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ19

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ172

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
31.4%
Resolves
Jun 28, 2026

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