WIIL I get first of my bronze league this week? 🩶
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 31.4%.
- Final market price
- 31.4%
- Event deadline
- June 28, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
WIIL I get first of my bronze league this week? 🩶 The final Manifold price was 31.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 31.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 3, 2026 at 12:40 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 28, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 110d ago
What this market actually measures
Just look at my profile to find if it will resolve to YES or NO, depending on my shares and my league position. My goal is to be TOP 1.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Just look at my profile to find if it will resolve to YES or NO, depending on my shares and my league position. My goal is to be TOP 1. Thank you ! Market resolves to YES if I'm first of my bronze league; otherwise, NO for 2 or + position. Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the market creator finishes in 1st place in their Bronze league division for the weekly cohort ending Sunday night. This market resolves to NO if the creator finishes in 2nd place or lower in their Bronze league division. Source of truth: The league standings visible on the creator's Manifold profile page or the Manifold Leagues dashboard at the close of the weekly cycle (typically Sunday at 11:59 PM PT / Monday at 7:00 AM UTC). Edge cases: If the creator is not placed in a Bronze league division this week, this market will resolve to N/A. Background Manifold Leagues partition active users into weekly cohorts. Users compete to maximize their weekly league profits from trading and market creation to gain promotion to higher tiers (Bronze, Silver, Gold, etc.). The creator is aiming to top their specific Bronze league division cohort this week.