Which side is better at bribing me? (Week 1)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 10.0%.
- Final market price
- 10.0%
- Event deadline
- September 4, 2026 at 3:34 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Which side is better at bribing me? (Week 1) The final Manifold price was 10.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 10.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 7, 2026 at 6:15 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 4, 2026 at 3:34 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
Whichever side has higher score wins (if tie, resolves 50%) If you hold a YES position (as shown in the trader list), the amount of mana managramed to me will be added to the YES score Similar for the NO score. Important note: each bribe must be at least 67 mana for it to be added to the score Update 2026-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Bribes are counted based on your final position at the time of res…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Whichever side has higher score wins (if tie, resolves 50%) If you hold a YES position (as shown in the trader list), the amount of mana managramed to me will be added to the YES score Similar for the NO score. Important note: each bribe must be at least 67 mana for it to be added to the score Update 2026-08-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Bribes are counted based on your final position at the time of resolution. If a trader switches sides, all of their previous bribes will apply to their new final position.