Trump says or posts something deprecating about Dolly Parton within a week of her passing
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 2.4%.
- Final market price
- 2.4%
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Trump says or posts something deprecating about Dolly Parton within a week of her passing The final Manifold price was 2.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 2.4%.
- Market data as of
- September 4, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 16, 2026 at 2:49 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 1, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves NO by default unless Trump says or posts something that diminishes Dolly Parton. Does not need to be a gross insult, even saying she was'nt as great as people think, would count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves NO by default unless Trump says or posts something that diminishes Dolly Parton. Does not need to be a gross insult, even saying she was'nt as great as people think, would count. I think anything Trump says or posts on the subject of Dolly Parton will be inherently newsworthy, but since there is some judgement on my part as what diminishes Dolly, just as all my recent markets, I will not be betting, and even the initial percentage will be 50.