ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 32d ago
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest opening weekend of all time?
Final price
39.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.0%.
- Final market price
- 39.0%
- Event deadline
- August 2, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest opening weekend of all time? The final Manifold price was 39.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 4, 2026 at 12:39 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 2, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 32d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ0
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 39.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 2, 2026
Related markets
Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
46%YESTrust 17
ManifoldṀ277.3 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 100
Polymarket$5.2M 24h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0%YESTrust 97
Polymarket$1.6M 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
1%YESTrust 94
Polymarket$536.8K 24h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
51%YESTrust 63
Polymarket$769.4K 24h
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
50%YESTrust 74
Polymarket$1.4M 24h