"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150M
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 3.9%.
- Final market price
- 3.9%
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150M The final Manifold price was 3.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 3.9%.
- Market data as of
- August 13, 2026 at 12:33 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 22, 2026 at 5:51 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 40d ago
What this market actually measures
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). [link preview]
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). [link preview]
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ3.8K
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ5.4K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 3.9%
- Resolves
- Aug 9, 2026