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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 40d ago

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150M

Final price
3.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 3.9%.

Final market price
3.9%
Event deadline
August 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office >= 150M The final Manifold price was 3.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 3.9%.

Market data as of
August 13, 2026 at 12:33 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 22, 2026 at 5:51 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
August 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
40d ago

What this market actually measures

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). [link preview]

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 7 - 9) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). [link preview]

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ3.8K

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ5.4K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
3.9%
Resolves
Aug 9, 2026

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