Silver price above $90 in July 2026?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 13.0%.
- Final market price
- 13.0%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Silver price above $90 in July 2026? The final Manifold price was 13.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 13.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 2, 2026 at 1:35 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 80d ago
What this market actually measures
I will use this data set: Silver Jul 26 (SI=F) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance Using a GEV model fitted to the past 3 months of daily data, the 50% return level for the monthly maximum is $90.88. Will the actual maximum for July, at any moment, be above this model-derived level?
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I will use this data set: Silver Jul 26 (SI=F) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance Using a GEV model fitted to the past 3 months of daily data, the 50% return level for the monthly maximum is $90.88. Will the actual maximum for July, at any moment, be above this model-derived level? See also: Silver price stays under $69 in July 2026? | Manifold