[Short Fuse] Will Bitcoin increase from August 26 to 27?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.4%.
- Final market price
- 52.4%
- Event deadline
- August 26, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
[Short Fuse] Will Bitcoin increase from August 26 to 27? The final Manifold price was 52.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.4%.
- Market data as of
- August 29, 2026 at 7:47 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 11, 2026 at 5:31 PM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 26, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
I know this market closes before August 27 UTC time this is short fuse to feel free to predict. Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the daily close price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on August 27, 2026, is higher than the daily close price on August 26, 2026.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I know this market closes before August 27 UTC time this is short fuse to feel free to predict. Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if the daily close price of Bitcoin (BTC-USD) on August 27, 2026, is higher than the daily close price on August 26, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to NO. Primary Source: Daily closing prices (recorded in UTC) on Yahoo Finance BTC-USD Historical Data. Calculation: The comparison will use the "Close" (or "Adj Close") price listed for the date of August 27, 2026, versus August 62, 2026. Fallback: If Yahoo Finance data is unavailable, daily close data (UTC) from CoinGecko's Bitcoin Historical Data will be used.
Market data
24h volume
127 mana
Liquidity
1K mana
Total volume
453.1 mana
- Category
- Crypto
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 52.4%
- Resolves
- Aug 26, 2026