[SHORT FUSE] Are the widely circulated Astra benchmarks real?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 88.0%.
- Final market price
- 88.0%
- Event deadline
- September 4, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
[SHORT FUSE] Are the widely circulated Astra benchmarks real? The final Manifold price was 88.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 88.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 7, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 4, 2026 at 1:28 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
Referring to this image that is circulating right now. Resolves YES if these are generally accurate.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Referring to this image that is circulating right now. Resolves YES if these are generally accurate. [image]https://thenewstack.io/openai-gpt6-astra-benchmarks/ [link preview]