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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 81d ago

Resolves to the side with the most holders at market close

Final price
12.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 12.8%.

Final market price
12.8%
Event deadline
June 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Resolves to the side with the most holders at market close The final Manifold price was 12.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 12.8%.

Market data as of
June 15, 2026 at 3:59 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 13, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
81d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolves to the side with the most holders at market close, excluding bots. For example, in the image below, the market would resolve NO, as it has 3 holders (4-1bot) compared to YES only having 2.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolves to the side with the most holders at market close, excluding bots. For example, in the image below, the market would resolve NO, as it has 3 holders (4-1bot) compared to YES only having 2. A bot must have the BOT tag to be classified as a bot. Resolves 50/50 if equal [image]

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ332

Liquidity

Ṁ1K

Total volume

Ṁ3.1K

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
12.8%
Resolves
Jun 13, 2026

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