Random resolver
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.5%.
- Final market price
- 49.5%
- Event deadline
- September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Random resolver The final Manifold price was 49.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.5%.
- Market data as of
- September 19, 2026 at 5:49 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 2, 2026 at 9:18 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 16, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 44d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES or NO based on the cents digit of the closing price of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on Friday, September 18, 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. YES: If the cents digit of the closing price is an odd number (1, 3, 5, 7, 9).
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES or NO based on the cents digit of the closing price of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) on Friday, September 18, 2026, as reported by Yahoo Finance. YES: If the cents digit of the closing price is an odd number (1, 3, 5, 7, 9). NO: If the cents digit of the closing price is an even number (0, 2, 4, 6, 8). If Yahoo Finance does not report a closing price for SPY on this date (e.g., due to unexpected market closure), the closing price from the next active trading day will be used. The market creator may edit these criteria to use an alternative verifiable source of randomness. Background A random resolver market functions as a decentralized coin flip. Traders can bet on either outcome, with the final resolution tied to an unpredictable and publicly verifiable real-world value. Using the cents digit of a major ETF at a future market close provides an unbiased, tamper-proof source of entropy that is easily verifiable by all participants. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.