Random resolver 🎲
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.8%.
- Final market price
- 59.8%
- Event deadline
- September 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Random resolver 🎲 The final Manifold price was 59.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 59.8%.
- Market data as of
- September 22, 2026 at 7:20 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- November 3, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES or NO based on a verifiable random outcome. Unless the market creator specifies a different public source of randomness in the comments or description before the market closes, the resolution will be determined by the last hexadecimal digit of the hash of the first Bitcoin block mined after the market's scheduled close time: If the last digit of the block hash is ev…
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market will resolve to YES or NO based on a verifiable random outcome. Unless the market creator specifies a different public source of randomness in the comments or description before the market closes, the resolution will be determined by the last hexadecimal digit of the hash of the first Bitcoin block mined after the market's scheduled close time: If the last digit of the block hash is even (0, 2, 4, 6, 8, a, c, e), the market resolves to YES. If the last digit of the block hash is odd (1, 3, 5, 7, 9, b, d, f), the market resolves to NO. The block hash can be publicly verified using mempool.space. If the creator explicitly chooses to use an alternative verifiable source of randomness (such as a specific drawing on Random.org), they must state the details clearly before the market closes. Otherwise, the Bitcoin block hash method will serve as the default deterministic fallback. Background Random resolver markets are commonly used on prediction platforms to test automated trading algorithms, provide a baseline for zero-intelligence or noise traders, or serve as a neutral utility. By tying the outcome to cryptographic entropy, such as a future Bitcoin block hash, the resolution remains entirely unbiased and immune to manipulation by both traders and the market creator. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output. https://www.blockchain.com will used to check