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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 60d ago

Pokemon Mega Ev Ascended Heroes: Will we unpack a card worth >$8.99 raw at Manifest (2 packs) [+Prizes]

Final price
33.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.5%.

Final market price
33.5%
Event deadline
June 14, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Pokemon Mega Ev Ascended Heroes: Will we unpack a card worth >$8.99 raw at Manifest (2 packs) [+Prizes] The final Manifold price was 33.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 33.5%.

Market data as of
July 6, 2026 at 9:49 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 14, 2026 at 2:34 PM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
60d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if at least one card pulled across the two booster packs of Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes has a Market Price strictly greater than $8.99 USD. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if at least one card pulled across the two booster packs of Pokémon TCG: Mega Evolution—Ascended Heroes has a Market Price strictly greater than $8.99 USD. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. Pricing Source: Card values will be determined using the PackMagik Market Price for the English, Near Mint, non-graded, exact variant of the card pulled (e.g., matching standard, reverse holo, ultra-rare, or illustration rare versions). We will use TCG directly if PackMagik price is disputed/close or otherwise doesn't work. Timing: Prices will be measured immediately after we rip the packs at the Manifest conference. Packs: This market applies strictly to the contents of the two booster packs we already have Comment & Win Exact Variant Guess: You can comment up to one (1) Pokémon name with its specific variant. If any user correctly guesses the exact Pokémon/variant of the most valuable card pulled, the first that commented it will win M5,000. You can see the list here: https://www.packmagik.com/sets/pkmn-me2pt5-en

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ5.1K

Total volume

Ṁ280

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
33.5%
Resolves
Jun 14, 2026

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