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ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 75d ago

Melbourne Auction clearance rates fall below 50% this weekend.

Final price
72.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 72.7%.

Final market price
72.7%
Event deadline
June 8, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

Melbourne Auction clearance rates fall below 50% this weekend. The final Manifold price was 72.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 72.7%.

Market data as of
June 22, 2026 at 6:37 AM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:08 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
June 8, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
75d ago

What this market actually measures

nb it's Kings' birthday so fewer auctions are happening. REIV expect 460 auctions, down from 720 the week before.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

nb it's Kings' birthday so fewer auctions are happening. REIV expect 460 auctions, down from 720 the week before. https://reiv.com.au/our-industry/news/auction-preview-for-the-week-ending-7-June-2026 [link preview]Answer will be resolved by whatever is printed on Domain when the data is up. I think it takes a little while, perhaps Wednesday.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ63

Category
Macro / Fed
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
72.7%
Resolves
Jun 8, 2026

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