Melbourne Auction clearance rates fall below 50% this weekend.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 72.7%.
- Final market price
- 72.7%
- Event deadline
- June 8, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Melbourne Auction clearance rates fall below 50% this weekend. The final Manifold price was 72.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 72.7%.
- Market data as of
- June 22, 2026 at 6:37 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- June 8, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 121d ago
What this market actually measures
nb it's Kings' birthday so fewer auctions are happening. REIV expect 460 auctions, down from 720 the week before.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
nb it's Kings' birthday so fewer auctions are happening. REIV expect 460 auctions, down from 720 the week before. https://reiv.com.au/our-industry/news/auction-preview-for-the-week-ending-7-June-2026 [link preview]Answer will be resolved by whatever is printed on Domain when the data is up. I think it takes a little while, perhaps Wednesday.