Mass shooting on Wednesday?
Final price
50.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Final market price
- 50.0%
- Event deadline
- July 22, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Mass shooting on Wednesday? The final Manifold price was 50.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 26, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:42 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 22, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 87d ago