ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 40d ago
Mass shooting on Wednesday?
Final price
50.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Final market price
- 50.0%
- Event deadline
- July 22, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Mass shooting on Wednesday? The final Manifold price was 50.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 50.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 26, 2026 at 2:03 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:04 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 22, 2026 at 12:59 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 40d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ210.1
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ396.2
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 50.0%
- Resolves
- Jul 22, 2026
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