Manifold Markets created: I'm currently #104. Will I rank #96 in markets I've created by August 26, 2026? (8/26/26)
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 36.4%.
- Final market price
- 36.4%
- Event deadline
- August 20, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Manifold Markets created: I'm currently #104. Will I rank #96 in markets I've created by August 26, 2026? (8/26/26) The final Manifold price was 36.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 36.4%.
- Market data as of
- August 22, 2026 at 10:59 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 20, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 59d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I rank #96 or better (i.e., a rank of 96 or closer to 1) in the total number of markets created on the Manifold Markets Leaderboard at any point on or before August 26, 2026 (PDT). If my rank remains #97 or worse throughout the entire period up to the end of August 26, 2026 (PDT), this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if I rank #96 or better (i.e., a rank of 96 or closer to 1) in the total number of markets created on the Manifold Markets Leaderboard at any point on or before August 26, 2026 (PDT). If my rank remains #97 or worse throughout the entire period up to the end of August 26, 2026 (PDT), this market resolves to NO. Source of Truth: The ranking displayed under the "Markets Created" (or equivalent creator) category on the official Manifold Markets leaderboard. Tie-Breakers: If there is a tie, resolution will be determined by the official rank number displayed by the platform's leaderboard interface or public API. Background As of August 18, 2026, I am currently ranked #104 in the total number of markets created on Manifold. This market tracks whether I will climb 8 spots to reach rank #96 or higher by the deadline on August 26, 2026. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.