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ManifoldAI / TechUpdated 37d ago

July 26 (7/26/26) Will I be below 300 lbs. at my morning weigh-in? 314.2 today.

Final price
30.8%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO

This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.8%.

Final market price
30.8%
Event deadline
July 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Venue status
resolved

ProbCast Reliability Summary

July 26 (7/26/26) Will I be below 300 lbs. at my morning weigh-in? 314.2 today. The final Manifold price was 30.8%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 30.8%.

Market data as of
July 30, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET
ProbCast assessment generated
September 5, 2026 at 1:03 AM ET
Source
Manifold
Event deadline
July 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET
Market status
Resolved
Data updated
37d ago

What this market actually measures

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if my weight is strictly below 300.0 lbs during my morning weigh-in on July 26, 2026. It resolves to NO if my weight is 300.0 lbs or higher during that weigh-in.

This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.

View full official resolution rules

Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if my weight is strictly below 300.0 lbs during my morning weigh-in on July 26, 2026. It resolves to NO if my weight is 300.0 lbs or higher during that weigh-in. Background As of June 20, 2026, my weight is 314.2 lbs. To reach a target weight below 300.0 lbs by July 26, 2026, I need to lose more than 14.2 lbs over a period of 36 days. This requires an average weight loss of approximately 2.76 lbs per week. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market data

24h volume

Ṁ0

Liquidity

Ṁ100

Total volume

Ṁ84.3

Category
AI / Tech
Venue
Manifold
Open interest
Current probability
30.8%
Resolves
Jul 26, 2026

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