If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote?
Final price
99.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 1:09 AM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
If the Clacton by-election is held, will Count Binface get at least 10 percent of the vote? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 1:21 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 1:09 AM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 65d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolves based on official election results.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolves based on official election results.