If Opus 5 is released by EOM, will it out-benchmark Fable 5?
Final price
16.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.7%.
- Final market price
- 16.7%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 16.7%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
If Opus 5 is released by EOM, will it out-benchmark Fable 5? The final Manifold price was 16.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.7%.
- Market data as of
- July 28, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:41 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 85d ago