ManifoldMacro / FedUpdated 39d ago
If Opus 5 is released by EOM, will it out-benchmark Fable 5?
Final price
16.7%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.7%.
- Final market price
- 16.7%
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 16.7%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
If Opus 5 is released by EOM, will it out-benchmark Fable 5? The final Manifold price was 16.7%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 16.7%.
- Market data as of
- July 28, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:01 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 31, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 39d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ83.6
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ313.4
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 16.7%
- Resolves
- Jul 31, 2026
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