If Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.3%.
- Final market price
- 98.3%
- Event deadline
- September 13, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
If Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5? The final Manifold price was 98.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 98.3%.
- Market data as of
- September 16, 2026 at 12:18 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:44 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 13, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 35d ago
What this market actually measures
Update 2026-09-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on the agent arena scores as of September 14th.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Update 2026-09-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The market will resolve based on the agent arena scores as of September 14th.