Export controls on Fable 5 get rescinded within 72 hours of the release of GPT 5.6?
Final price
52.5%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.5%.
- Final market price
- 52.5%
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 52.5%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 52.5%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Export controls on Fable 5 get rescinded within 72 hours of the release of GPT 5.6? The final Manifold price was 52.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 52.5%.
- Market data as of
- July 8, 2026 at 8:33 AM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 31, 2027 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 105d ago
What this market actually measures
72 hours in either direction. Resolves yes on release of next OpenAI frontier model, whatever the name.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
72 hours in either direction. Resolves yes on release of next OpenAI frontier model, whatever the name.