Donald Trump praise Allah again before 2027?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.4%.
- Final market price
- 49.4%
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 49.4%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 49.4%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Donald Trump praise Allah again before 2027? The final Manifold price was 49.4%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 49.4%.
- Market data as of
- July 15, 2026 at 5:39 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- December 31, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 97d ago
What this market actually measures
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump publicly makes a statement praising Allah at least once between June 11, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Resolution criteria This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump publicly makes a statement praising Allah at least once between June 11, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO. To qualify: Trump must verbally speak or write in a public post (on official channels such as Truth Social, X/Twitter, or via an official campaign/press release) a phrase explicitly praising Allah, such as "Praise be to Allah", "Praise Allah", or "Alhamdulillah" (or their clear equivalents). Intent (e.g., whether the statement is sarcastic, mocking, or sincere) will not affect resolution; any direct public usage of the phrase by Trump will trigger a YES resolution. Only new instances occurring after June 11, 2026, count. Past instances (such as his posts on April 5, 2026, and June 10, 2026) do not qualify. Resolution will be verified via credible news reporting (e.g., AP, Reuters, Forbes) or direct archives of his verified accounts. Background On April 5, 2026 (Easter Sunday), Donald Trump ended an aggressive Truth Social post directed at Iran with the phrase "Praise be to Allah." On June 10, 2026, he repeated the phrase "Praise be to Allah!" in another Truth Social post boasting about a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. These remarks have drawn significant media coverage and public reaction amidst escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran. This market tracks whether he will employ this phrasing again before the end of 2026. This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.