Do you like 74% odds?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 73.9%.
- Final market price
- 73.9%
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 3:54 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Do you like 74% odds? The final Manifold price was 73.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 73.9%.
- Market data as of
- August 8, 2026 at 7:44 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 21, 2026 at 5:24 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 7, 2026 at 3:54 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 43d ago
What this market actually measures
I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 74 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ10K
Total volume
Ṁ152.4
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 73.9%
- Resolves
- Aug 7, 2026