Do you like 26% odds?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 25.3%.
- Final market price
- 25.3%
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 3:04 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Do you like 26% odds? The final Manifold price was 25.3%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 25.3%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 2:31 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 28, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 3:04 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
I would like to test how different odds influence betting behavior. After the market closes, I will call @FairlyRandom to generate a number from 1 to 100. If the number is between 1 and 26 (inclusive), this market resolves to YES; otherwise, it resolves to NO. I will also record betting behavior for this and related markets with varying odds and analyze the data statistically to look for patterns in participants’ decisions.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ2.4K
Liquidity
Ṁ10K
Total volume
Ṁ10.4K
- Category
- Macro / Fed
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 25.3%
- Resolves
- Aug 14, 2026