Did OpenAI just solve navier stokes??
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Final market price
- 99.0%
- Event deadline
- September 8, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Did OpenAI just solve navier stokes?? The final Manifold price was 99.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 99.0%.
- Market data as of
- September 11, 2026 at 5:53 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 23, 2026 at 8:18 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- September 8, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected]) [link preview]Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Only the Millennium Prize formulation of the Navier-Stokes problem is valid for a YES resolution. Partial solutions or progress towards a solution will not count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
tristanbuckmaster (@[email protected]) [link preview]Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * Only the Millennium Prize formulation of the Navier-Stokes problem is valid for a YES resolution. Partial solutions or progress towards a solution will not count. Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - To resolve YES, OpenAI must have found the full solution before this market was created. Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator intends to resolve the market based on the Lean-verified proof rather than waiting for formal peer review. They will request a re-resolution if the proof is later found to be incorrect. Update 2026-09-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is about to resolve the market to YES.