ManifoldPoliticsUpdated 37d ago
Democratic Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner will be Patrick Dempsey or Troy Jackson or Shenna Bellows.
Final price
77.2%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 77.2%.
- Final market price
- 77.2%
- Event deadline
- November 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 77.2%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 77.2%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Democratic Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner will be Patrick Dempsey or Troy Jackson or Shenna Bellows. The final Manifold price was 77.2%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 77.2%.
- Market data as of
- July 29, 2026 at 2:43 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:06 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- November 3, 2026 at 6:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ129.4
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 77.2%
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026