Can Manifold solve this problem?
Final price
58.0%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved YES
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 58.0%.
- Final market price
- 58.0%
- Event deadline
- July 9, 2026 at 9:44 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Can Manifold solve this problem? The final Manifold price was 58.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 58.0%.
- Market data as of
- July 14, 2026 at 5:54 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:39 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- July 9, 2026 at 9:44 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 98d ago