Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro be registered as a candidate for any office?
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 97.5%.
- Final market price
- 97.5%
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro be registered as a candidate for any office? The final Manifold price was 97.5%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 97.5%.
- Market data as of
- August 18, 2026 at 7:56 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 63d ago
What this market actually measures
This market resolves YES if Michelle Bolsonaro is listed by Brazil’s TSE as having filed a candidacy registration request for any office in Brazil’s 2026 general election, including president, vice president, governor, vice governor, senator, federal deputy, state deputy, or district deputy. It resolves NO if no such candidacy registration request is listed by the TSE for the 2026 general election.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
This market resolves YES if Michelle Bolsonaro is listed by Brazil’s TSE as having filed a candidacy registration request for any office in Brazil’s 2026 general election, including president, vice president, governor, vice governor, senator, federal deputy, state deputy, or district deputy. It resolves NO if no such candidacy registration request is listed by the TSE for the 2026 general election. The candidacy does not need to be finally approved, and she does not need to remain in the race; an official registration request is enough to count.