Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro attend in person the PL convention that nominates Flávio for president?
Final price
39.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Price historyManifold
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Source: ProbCast snapshots (Manifold)
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.9%.
- Final market price
- 39.9%
- Event deadline
- August 5, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 39.9%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 39.9%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro attend in person the PL convention that nominates Flávio for president? The final Manifold price was 39.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 29, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- October 21, 2026 at 4:43 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 5, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 84d ago