ManifoldGeopoliticsUpdated 37d ago
Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro attend in person the PL convention that nominates Flávio for president?
Final price
39.9%
0.0 pts
past 24h
Resolved NO
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.9%.
- Final market price
- 39.9%
- Event deadline
- August 5, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Probability 24 hours before event deadline
- 39.9%
- Probability seven days before event deadline
- 39.9%
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro attend in person the PL convention that nominates Flávio for president? The final Manifold price was 39.9%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 39.9%.
- Market data as of
- July 29, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 5, 2026 at 1:02 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 5, 2026 at 7:59 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 37d ago
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ0
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ53.3
- Category
- Geopolitics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 39.9%
- Resolves
- Aug 5, 2026