A National Mp publicly says Chris Luxon should go before end of Friday?
This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Final market price
- 1.0%
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 3:38 PM ET
- Venue status
- resolved
ProbCast Reliability Summary
A National Mp publicly says Chris Luxon should go before end of Friday? The final Manifold price was 1.0%. This market has resolved. The final Manifold price was 1.0%.
- Market data as of
- August 17, 2026 at 12:31 PM ET
- ProbCast assessment generated
- September 28, 2026 at 8:13 AM ET
- Source
- Manifold
- Event deadline
- August 14, 2026 at 3:38 PM ET
- Market status
- Resolved
- Data updated
- 42d ago
What this market actually measures
Must occur before 11.59pm et Friday 14 August 2026 Must be publicly. A news article that an mp is saying it privately doesn’t count.
This summary shows the opening of the venue's official rules. ProbCast has not yet generated an independent plain-English interpretation for this contract — review the full rules before relying on it.
View full official resolution rules
Must occur before 11.59pm et Friday 14 August 2026 Must be publicly. A news article that an mp is saying it privately doesn’t count. Chris Luxon is the current prime minister of New Zealand.
Market data
24h volume
Ṁ812.2
Liquidity
Ṁ100
Total volume
Ṁ943.2
- Category
- Politics
- Venue
- Manifold
- Open interest
- —
- Current probability
- 1.0%
- Resolves
- Aug 14, 2026