Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?100%▲39.2Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?75%▲13.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?30%▲17.0Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?50%▼1.0US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?14%▲5.0Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?43%▲8.6Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?50%▲3.0US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?54%▲22.0Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?16%▼5.0Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?17%▼16.0Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?79%▲47.0Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?53%▲26.6US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?45%▲6.5Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?24%▲4.0Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?97%▲9.2Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?23%▼16.3

Event · resolves around 2027-04-28

Fed's — rate decision · Apr 2027

2 related contracts across Kalshi · $502.6 traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi73%-1.5 pts0Developing
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Apr 28, 2027 meeting?Kalshi71%-1.5 pts0Developing

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