Event · resolves around 2027-01-01
Fed — rate decision · Jan 2027
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $96.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 2% | +0.8 pts | 84 | Developing |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Polymarket | 97% | +0.5 pts | 66 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.