Event · resolves around 2026-12-09
Fed — rate decision · Dec 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $198.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 75% | +6.0 pts | 75 | Confirmed move |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Polymarket | 1% | 0.0 pts | 59 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.