Event · resolves around 2026-10-28
Fed's — rate decision · Oct 2026
4 related contracts across Kalshi · $417.8 traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 88% | +9.5 pts | 0 | Likely noise |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 20% | +7.0 pts | 11 | Developing |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 2% | 0.0 pts | 2 | Developing |
| Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting? | Kalshi | 1% | 0.0 pts | 15 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.