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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?71%▲28.6 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?53%▼8.0 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?0%▼10.4 Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?32%▼7.0 Fed rate hike in 2026?74%▲8.5 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?44%▼8.0 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?75%▼2.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?53%▲2.0 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?31%▲2.0 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?16%▼7.0 Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?53%▼14.8 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?72%▼0.9 Подаст ли КИТИК заявку на контракт на пост разработчика проекта Орион ?26%▼15.7 Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]14%▼0.6 Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 202634%▼16.2 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?74%▼3.3

Event · resolves around 2026-12-31

Bitcoin — price targets · Dec 2026

6 related contracts across Manifold and Kalshi · $6.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026?	Manifold	Macro / Fed	53%	-14.8 pts	Ṁ3.1K	64	7	Likely noise
Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?	Kalshi	Crypto	7%	0.0 pts	$2.2K	54	24	Worth watching
Will Bitcoin be above $199,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?	Kalshi	Crypto	3%	0.0 pts	$2K	55	34	Worth watching
Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?	Kalshi	Crypto	15%	0.0 pts	$1.2K	54	33	Worth watching
Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?	Kalshi	Crypto	8%	0.0 pts	$913.9	52	31	Worth watching
Will Bitcoin be above $139,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?	Kalshi	Crypto	6%	0.0 pts	$104.9	47	28	Worth watching

Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.