Event · resolves around 2026-12-31
SpaceX — price targets · Dec 2026
5 related contracts across Kalshi and Manifold · $1.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | 24% | -3.0 pts | 45 | Developing |
| Will SpaceX stock crash and close below $100 anyday in 2026? | ManifoldPlay money | 7% | +2.1 pts | 46 | Developing |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $75 by the end of 2026? | ManifoldPlay money | 5% | -1.3 pts | 47 | Developing |
| Will Bitcoin be above $119,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET? | Kalshi | 6% | 0.0 pts | 56 | Developing |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) stock drop below $100 by the end of 2026? | ManifoldPlay money | 9% | -3.0 pts | 43 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.