Event · resolves around 2026-10-17
Bitcoin — price targets · Oct 2026
2 related contracts across Polymarket · $70K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17? | Polymarket | 94% | -2.5 pts | 10 | Likely noise |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17? | Polymarket | 99% | +0.2 pts | 43 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.