Event · resolves around 2029-08-31
Conservative — election · Aug 2029
2 related contracts across Kalshi · $383 traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Conservative win the next U.K. election? | Kalshi | 26% | 0.0 pts | 6 | Developing |
| Will Restore Britain win the next U.K. election? | Kalshi | 4% | -0.2 pts | 5 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.