Event · resolves around 2029-01-20
Unified Ireland — election · Jan 2029
2 related contracts across Kalshi and Manifold · $1.8K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will the President be impeached before Jan 20, 2029? | Kalshi | 68% | -0.5 pts | 22 | Developing |
| Unified Ireland while Trump is president? | Manifold | 33% | -13.5 pts | 0 | Likely noise |
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