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Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?100%▲67.3 Argentina leading at halftime?100%▲0.0 Spain leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 England leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%▲0.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?0%▼0.1 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%▲0.0 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%▲0.0 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%▲0.0 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?100%▲0.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%▲0.0 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%▲0.0 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?100%▲0.0 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%▲0.0 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 0%▲0.0 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?0%▲0.0 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?100%▲67.3 Argentina leading at halftime?100%▲0.0 Spain leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 England leading at halftime?0%▲0.0 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%▲0.0 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?0%▼0.1 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?100%▲0.0 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?100%▲0.0 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?100%▲0.0 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?100%▲0.0 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%▲0.0 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%▲0.0 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?100%▲0.0 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?0%▲0.0 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 0%▲0.0 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?0%▲0.0

Event · resolves around 2027-05-31

Zuby Ejiofor — election · May 2027

2 related contracts across Polymarket · $1.7M traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.


Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Polymarket	Macro / Fed	0%	+0.2 pts	$1.1M	77	40	Worth watching
Will Allen Graves win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Polymarket	Macro / Fed	0%	0.0 pts	$655.6K	78	57	Worth watching

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