Event · resolves around 2027-04-19
Christine Lagarde — election · Apr 2027
5 related contracts across Polymarket · $369.4K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 90 | Developing |
| Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Polymarket | 0% | 0.0 pts | 89 | Developing |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Polymarket | 20% | 0.0 pts | 59 | Developing |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Polymarket | 39% | +0.7 pts | 66 | Developing |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Polymarket | 14% | +1.0 pts | 61 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.