Event · resolves around 2027-01-03
Mitch McConnell — election · Jan 2027
2 related contracts across Polymarket and Manifold · $81.6K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Polymarket | 13% | -5.5 pts | 72 | Confirmed move |
| If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat? | Manifold | 42% | +1.3 pts | 16 | Developing |
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