Event · resolves around 2027-01-01
Trump — election · Jan 2027
2 related contracts across Polymarket and Kalshi · $29.9K traded in 24h. Every row is scored for movement, liquidity, and trust — the fastest way to read one event’s whole probability surface.
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Polymarket | 6% | 0.0 pts | 67 | Developing |
| Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027? | Kalshi | 3% | +0.1 pts | 30 | Developing |
Markets are grouped by ProbCast’s contract ontology (event type, deadline, jurisdiction) — see the methodology. Contracts in a family can have different resolution criteria; read each market’s rules before comparing numbers.